Cold War gone hot - Able Archer '83

[Flygarpojken]

God kväll!

Efter lite surfande igår förmiddag och kväll så lyckades jag hitta ett ämne att göra en presentation om till engelskakursen (Eng 7) jag läser just nu.

Inspirerades av följande:

http://www.alternatehistory.com/discussion/showthread.php?t=279881

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Able_Archer_83


Så, tanken är alltså att bygga ett scenario utifrån Able Archer 1983, där strid utbryter. Mycket av scenariot jag kommer bygga upp utgår ifrån tråden där det redan gjorts, men med lite ändringar och förenklingar. För övrigt så kommer följande text skrivas på engelska. Notera att detta kommer

Scenario:

During the autumn and early winter of 1983, diplomatic relations between the Soviet Union and the United States were at the worst since the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962. This was the result of many different factors, spanning all the way back to the end of the Second World War. In recent time, tension between the nations steem mostly from the increase of nuclear weapons in Europe, the destruction of the civilian Korean Airlines Flight 007 by Soviet fighters over the Sea of Japan, and the deployment of new Pershing II nuclear missiles in West Germany.

All this, and the previous incidents and tension between the western nations of NATO and the eastern nations of the Warsaw Pact, the Soviet leadership was incredibly frightened by the prospect of an attack by the U.S against their own country. It was a genuine fear, as the Soviets were convinced that the West would be the ones to initiate a nuclear first strike against them, rather than the opposite. With the introduction of the Pershing II missiles, their fears reached an all new high. These advanced weapons could hit their own silos and command bunkers before they could launch their own nukes, and had the capacity to destroy the heavily fortififed bunkers the Soviets had built.

With this fear in the back of their heads, the beginning of the NATO exercise named Able Archer in 1983, during which NATO actually practiced a first strike scenario against the Warsaw Pact, looked for all intents and purposes as a cover for the initiation of a nuclear attack on the Soviet Union. The intelligence agencies reported to the Kremlin that an attack was to be expected within 4-7 days as of November 8th. Though the exercise was meant to end on November 11th, there was no way for the Soviets to be sure.

(Här börjar själva scenariot)

Therefore, the leadership of the Soviet Union began their own operations during the evening of November 8th. Spetsnaz units already embedded in the Western nations, combined with the sleeper cells of the KGB and the GRU, began a series of sabotages and assassinations of high profile leaders within the NATO countries. In the early morning light of November 9th, the Red Army and its Warsaw Pact allies began the ground assault into the West. The first attack was into West Germany from East Germany, the best tank divisions of the Soviet Union smashing the unprepared German soldiers along the border. This, along with an assault from Czechoslovakia into the southern parts of West Germany and airborne assaults against Bornholm and Själland, led to a large disadvantage for NATO forces from the start.

By November 10th, areas of West Germany have fallen to the advancing Red Army, and the island of Bornholm seized by airborne elements. The Polish are now sending marine units to reinforce the landing on Själland. To the north, a large group of Soviet Army units crossed the border into neutral Finland, marching over Lapland towards the Norwegian border, a clear violation of the nations sovereignty. As the Finnish Army is still mobilising, the trespassing is so far mostly uncontested. However, NATO forces are now waking up and gathering to defend the remaining German territory.

As of November 11th, the Red Army advance encounters the first proper resistance from the NATO forces. The Danish Army starts to assault the landing at Själland and the advance into Jylland from the south. Despite the heavy fighting and tenacity of the Danish soldiers, they're slowly losing ground to the superior Warsaw Pact forces. In West Germany, the Bundeswehr units that escaped the initial attack, reinforced by French and British forces, are performing a series of defensive battles and counterattacks, momentarily stalling certain parts of the frontline, though losing ground in others. A naval landing is attempted on the northwestern Norwegian coastline.

As November 12th ends, the situation is starting to escalate. The Warsaw Pact invades Austria, assaulting past many areas in order to make a corridor into Italy. Meanwhile, the savage counterattacks of the Bundeswehr have buckled the frontlines, though not by much. The Danish are buckling under increased pressure from the naval assault on Själland and the land attack against Jylland. Some positive news arise from Norway, however. Despite losing ground to the Red Army assaulting across Finland, the naval landing is defeated by combined NATO sea and air units, and no beachhead is established. The Finnish Army is starting to attack the rear echelons of the Soviets, reverting to the old tactics used in the Winter War.

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Såhär långt har jag kommit i tankebanorna hittills. Kommer följa tråden som länkades gällande utvecklingarna. Bifogar snabba kartskisser jag gjorde, i fallande ordning 9, 10, 11 & 12 November.

Det som jag skulle uppskatta är feedback på det jag skrivit ovan, vad ni tror skulle kunna hända framöver, samt hur Sverige skulle agera.

 

Tack på förhand!